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I'm starting this thread to talk about the direction of our El Niño work in summary terms that are more qualitative than technical.
Here are some of the basic facts:
John is looking for material for an upcoming NIPS talk
We studied the Ludescher et. al paper
Graham reproduced their results (essentially)
We decided to focus on predicting a continuous El Niño index
We are focusing our attention on machine-learning-based inferences from temperature grid data
John has blogged about all of the above
He now wants to blog about climate networks