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Manabe did much of the early work on estimating climate sensitivity due to CO2 and other GHGs.
Hasselmann did much early work on nonlinear wave modeling and established a method for discriminating natural climate variation from the AGW trend.
https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/physics/2021/press-release/
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Live streams of Nobel Prize lectures in just a couple of hours https://www.nobelprize.org/nobel-week-live-streams-2021/
Live streams of Nobel Prize lectures in just a couple of hours https://www.nobelprize.org/nobel-week-live-streams-2021/