Placed the compartmental model mathematical analogy on the POB blog:

http://peakoilbarrel.com/the-oil-shock-model-and-compartmental-models/

received 360 comments so far, and many people get the idea.

"Flattening the curve" has almost opposite contexts -- in a pandemic the spike in the curve is related to out of control growth whereas immediate flattening in production is due to an unforeseen suppressive shock. The price of oil is down to $12 per barrel today, which no one could have predicted at the beginning of the year.

[Oil Prices Have Dropped Below $12. Crude’s Problems May Get Worse Before They Get Better.](https://www.barrons.com/articles/oil-futures-prices-have-dropped-51587387499)