The role of dispersion as described in [comment #11](https://forum.azimuthproject.org/discussion/comment/21938/#Comment_21938). A single set of equations without a stochastic spread is inadequate for projection.


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One extra tidbit tonight:

Look at national & subnational daily deaths side-by-side.

NY daily deaths descending, but US plateau continues.

Why?

US is compound of multiple peaks like NY. As one state’s daily toll falls, another rises, keeping daily deaths high at national level pic.twitter.com/Idz2vMcHRc

— John Burn-Murdoch (@jburnmurdoch) May 2, 2020

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A tweet by Levitt, a structural biologist from Stanford

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