> "There is a lot human life and assets riding on the best physics-based predictive models"
Yes, many people, including farmers and others, have a lot riding on minimizing loss due to droughts, floods, and heat waves. I'm all for supporting research that improves the quality of the models, perhaps ultimately to make them as practically useful as tidal tables.
OTOH, just listen to yourself. All you seem to be doing is marginalizing any analysis that I am posting to the forum. It actually sounds like you don't want to see any progress being made, perhaps because it doesn't conform to your own opinion on how to do research?
In practice, science advances by pitting one model against another model, so if you have a better model, maybe it's about time for you to present it here so we can do a comparison?