> "The real test is whether your model predicts ENSO-QBO more accurately than the Ensemble Forecasts. You shy from that test."

Why don't you do it? No one is stopping you.

One thing I know is that the key to modeling is to reduce the number of degrees-of-freedom in the physical space. With the high correlation coefficient I obtained in [#610](#Comment_22756), I have eliminated well over 90% of the free physical parameters in the fit, and so will continue along this path of applied physics modeling.

Of course, you are allowed to do whatever you well please, including giving me bad advice.