Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. If you want to get involved, click one of these buttons!

WebHubTel

About

Comments

  • "QBO wave-number is properly two non-zero angular wavenumbers (for easterly and westerly motions, respectively)" Wrong. A zero wavenumber means that the waveform does not have a spatial wavelength (or is effectively infinite). Look at the QBO …
  • QBO has a unique standing-wave mode as it has a wavenumber index of 0, so no boundary conditions arise as the behavior wraps around the earth shaped like a toroid, Symmetry considerations require that only the draconic tide will contribute to the …
  • "I like your identification of geophysically situated oscillations as Standing Waves, " Of course they are standing waves, as I didn't originate that association. The El Nino Southern Oscillation is widely known as a standing wave. The 1990-1…
  • "This claim presumes spacetime is not the more correct notion of space, that standing waves do not oscillate in spacetime, and even presumes Earth is "fixed". Nothing is fixed, in absolute relativistic terms." You continue to drive off in a dir…
  • ENSO is not best modeled as an "Ensemble". It's a standing-wave mode with a fixed spatial configuration, which means it's a single collective fluid behavior, not a statistical ensemble of outcomes. At least that's the premise I use. If you want to…
  • You seem to miss the point that this research is essentially a combination of exploratory metrology approaches and of applied geophysics. Consider that if the data was raw diffraction output (x-ray, electron, etc) and we were simply trying to rever…
  • "The real test is whether your model predicts ENSO-QBO more accurately than the Ensemble Forecasts. You shy from that test." Why don't you do it? No one is stopping you. One thing I know is that the key to modeling is to reduce the number of …
  • CC = 0.9995 "That could be compelling evidence of crosstalk, as well as forcing. Its no proof of 100% forcing and 0% crosstalk. It could even be mostly crosstalk, as far as we currently can tell." LOL/LOD My model of LOD is to the derivative …
  • CC = 0.9995 The elegance of the physics of gravitational forcing. All cycles shorter than monthly are due to this construction :
  • shorter: Ahab
  • The problem is that you seem to lack any intuition with respect to data analysis or signal processing. Of course there's not a fixed period when it is caused by a periodic impulse magnifying an underlying tidal signal. The impulse is on semi-annua…
  • "QBO is properly "Quasi-Biennial", rather than strictly Biennial. " Someone put "quasi" in the name because they couldn't determine what caused it and that the 2.37 year period is somewhat close to 2. Do you have anything to add but semantic …
  • This discussion is delusional in terms of not seeing the obvious. A little upthread, I displayed this chart of the QBO winds in the context of adjacent stratospheric winds. Directly above the QBO in altitude lies the SAO winds of the upper strato…
  • What's your infatuation with Jupiter QQO? Show that it has nothing to do with Jupiter's moons. Shouldn't be difficult given your certainty.
  • "ENSO-QBO themselves are not forced in real time by daily tides, but data-buoys and data-sondes are. This is noise with regard to your hypothesis. It can't be waved away." woah. ENSO is not always measured at sea as a temperature, but can be me…
  • "That daily Tidal Noise" It's not noise. It's the signal. It's the forcing, just like the daily or annual signal See those sideband satellites highlighted in yellow about the daily harmonics (marked by red)? That's clearly a fortnightly tid…
  • This is a fantastic interactive QBO data presentation- https://acd-ext.gsfc.nasa.gov/Data_services/met/qbo/anim.html No it's not. It only gives one the impression that they have control over the data. In this case, the interactive control …
  • It's like this. In the following DiffEq profile, both the periodic impulse (LHS) and the response (RHS) is provided: If you don't have the impulse and only have the response, one can try to guess what the impulse is. For ENSO, I had to guess wha…
  • I don't think you understand the bad science that NOAA perpetrated by removing the annual signal from the ENSO time-series. It would be OK if they filtered the A=Annual portion of the time-series if it was composed as linearly independent factors…
  • Another substantiation that ENSO is not chaotic. The scientists at NOAA filter out the annualized signal from the ENSO NINO34 index. Below is the part of the time series that they remove, labelled "ClimAdjust" One can assert this is just a remn…
  • "The predicted sensitivity is of a nature that a slight difference now in conditions can completely alter future quasi-periodicity inflection, the longer the time-frame, the more divergent. " Nope. Doesn't work that way. For example, all indica…
  • Not in the sense of the behavior under investigation.
  • "As a Chaotic System, ENSO is sensitive to initial conditions, therefore occasionally susceptible to Tidal Forcing. " Not chaotic implies the converse. None of the model behaviors (ENSO, QBO, or Chandler wobble) are dependent on initial conditi…
  • I'm getting a bit sick and tired of this stuff. Today I find that Trump gets acquitted of charges of insurrection, and my 2-page Ideas paper gets rejected from the Earth System Dynamics journal (yes, 2 pages is the page limit). The two are definit…
  • Someone said: "I avoid people who have a tendency to capitalize words that shouldn’t be." A look at the Ubiquitous Habit of capitalizing letters to make A Point (from Mashable) "One of King's least favorite Twitter users, Donald Trump, als…
  • No, it only means that they don't understand the pattern.
  • LOL, those predictions are for 6 only months in advance! Basically dead-reckoning forecasts
  • The lunisolar gravitational forces control the variation in the earth's rotation speed (dLOD) as a direct solid body inertial response. With the correct accounting of the tidal factor strengths it makes perfect sense assuming a linear transfer func…
  • I don't see your ENSO model results yet, just some links to weather and an orbiting satellite.
  • "The more I review the various sensor data sources, like sea-surface data, the more I see Lunisolar signals are mixed-in, in real-time." You talk as if you have done the data analysis. Where is it? It's not possible to hand-wave the agreement…