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DaveSantos

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  • Some disambiguation and further corollaries in light of the references above. Free Oscillation is the unforced motion of an oscillator at its natural frequency. I have been equivalently calling this Helmholtz Resonance. Damped and Forced Oscillatio…
  • PaulP: " I could write rings around...heuristic logic junk" That would indeed be impressive. Never forget; Scientific Method is the Mother of applied Heuristic Logic. Good Luck Paul, with your quest to better explain "long-period tidal forcing cyc…
  • Perhaps an effective Monotheos is emergent.
  • PaulP: "You are under the mistaken impression that anyone else is actually reading this forum thread...your contributions have not been useful and have been more of an impediment to progress than anything else " That is not my "mistaken impression"…
  • PaulP: "sound awfully naive about data analysis, as if you have never actually done much of it" Again, I am hardly naïve about heuristic data analysis, which for for you, "does not lead anywhere". If you are not yet able to gather that the orbital …
  • PaulP:"There is no cross-talk. There is only a common-mode forcing." Thanks; you assert that there is no direct Lunisolar effect on ENSO-QBO sensor data, so you deny any "crosstalk noise" in the data, which you believe only contains pure Lunisolar …
  • PaulP: "Feynman was clearly explaining the role of heuristics in the topic of game theory, not for physics." Feynman was a physicists' physicist, lecturing about Heuristic Logic generally. Von Neumann Game Theory as such is not what he was talking …
  • Heuristic Logic is properly a Class of Ansatz, under Category Theory. Its untrue that a successful "heuristic is something that just appears to work but otherwise does not lead anywhere". MathVault defines it better. Like many of my generation, I fi…
  • PaulK: "You evidently don't seem to understand what a heuristic is. " Its what MathVault says it is, a "mathematical procedure...that prioritizes higher order thinking...(that can) require...more mental flexibility and creativity", compared to rote…
  • Heuristic Logic is indeed both foundation and summit of math; the most powerful applied math as the most powerful AI paradigm. Historical review of the Philosophy of Mathematics confirms semantic knowledge as the uppermost level of abstraction, not …
  • PaulP: "data-less, lacking-math, no-charts. Why would you think you are offering any help to the project?" We are using the same third-party data. Heuristic Logic is the highest branch of math. I am helping you interpret your own charts better. To …
  • PaulK: "...no hope for anything more complex" That's unduly simplistic fatalism. Its rather trivial to track QBO angular motions, the phase-angles of the rotating "balance wheel" components with respect to longitude. Balance-wheels indeed have inhe…
  • PaulP: "Look at the QBO in action and it does not have a wavelength" I clearly see angular wavelengths, and the spacetime wavelength interpretation as well. Crude QBO idealization disregards both Galilean and Einsteinian Relativities. The linked vi…
  • PaulP: "QBO has a unique standing-wave mode as it has a wavenumber index of 0" Again, a non-relativistic (non-Galilean) assertion. I had already given a relativistic (more realistically physical) version- "QBO wave-number is properly two non-zero …
  • PaulP: "I didn't realize that you were not up-to-speed on some of this basic info." You should have realized I am only getting-up-to-speed. I actually thought maybe you had insightfully seen ENSO-QBO as standing wave cases, rather than just invokin…
  • PaulP: "...a direction that is completely meaningless to me" Physical theories are distinguished as Non-Relativistic or Relativistic. Your assertions about ENSO were clearly non-relativistic. We are not just talking about Einstein's Relativity, but…
  • PaulP: "(ENSO is) a standing-wave mode with a fixed spatial configuration" This claim presumes spacetime is not the more correct notion of space, that standing waves do not oscillate in spacetime, and even presumes Earth is "fixed". Nothing is fixe…
  • PaulP: "Doing predictions is way down on the list of necessary tasks to complete, but I can see how readers raised with a horse-race mentality would consider it important." Agreed. That is why I stated your "calculated predictions for the 2280 wind…
  • PaulK: "Why don't you do it?" Its quite enough that you wish not to run your model in the Ensemble for validation, declaring that path "bad advice". Good advice is not to futz with poorly documented GitHub code. In any case, your calculated predict…
  • You can't wave-away Lunisolar noise in ENSO-QBO data as "vague ramblings", given the supporting references. Lets keep the references coming. An ocean data-buoy on a tensioned tether anchored 9km deep is a very sensitive inverted (floating) pendulum…
  • PaulP: "The elegance of the physics of gravitational forcing." Agreed, as a classically ideal principle. The real world of noisy data sets and ENSO-QBO Model Ensembles is not so "elegant". Regarding the danger of a parsimony fallacy, Menger wrote,…
  • These links speak to the question of ENSO sensor data subject to many sources of noise- https://www.pmel.noaa.gov/gtmba/data-quality-control https://www.climate.gov/news-features/blogs/enso/enso-signal-and-noise In the context here, we can identi…
  • Paul. I am a life-long sailor dealing with tides, so I have "some intuition how this works", just as you wish. We agree that tidal "patterns aren't fixed on strictly periodic dates", for reasons I have partially listed. No I do not expect "some for…
  • "QBO" is no "sematic sugar", but the accepted name even you rightfully use: Quasi-Biennial. There is far more than imaginary sugar to identifying probable Tidal Noise in ENSO-QBO sensor data. This adds a lot to the analysis, unless you already caref…
  • "Sun passing nodally over the equator" is in fact a seasonal Orbital Resonance that is not the three-body Lunarsolar Tide per se. Remember, I accept Orbital Resonances AND lunisolar noise in the ENSO-QBO sensor data. You do not seem to accept the la…
  • "Strongly suggests" should not be confused with "certainty" by a sloppy reading. Indeed, its not hard to repeat the QQO explanation already on the table. Jupiter's moons are comparatively tiny compared to its mass, and numerous compared to our Moon…
  • ENSO is measured many ways; including current, wind, atmospheric-pressure, sea-surface height, and sea and air temperature. Lunisolar tidal noise is predicted here in all of these data sets, as well as weak long-period harmonic forcings buried in th…
  • ENSO-QBO themselves are not forced in real time by daily tides, but data-buoys and data-sondes are. This is noise with regard to your hypothesis. It can't be waved away. Showing the tidal signal clearly in non-ENSO atmospheric data does not address…
  • PaulP:"It only gives one the impression that they have control over the data. In this case, the interactive control makes it seem as if the movement is downward, as if the wind itself is sinking." It did not seem that way to me nor, no doubt, to th…